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03.02.2025 04:45 AM
2025年2月3日歐元/美元匯率預測

二月以動盪的局面開始。1號那天,美國總統特朗普對中國商品徵收10%的關稅,對墨西哥和加拿大商品徵收25%的關稅,但不包括能源產品。因此,市場開盤時出現了相當大的差距。

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在週線圖上,歐元達到了下降的青色價格通道的內嵌線。在市場參與者評估特朗普決定的影響時,歐元可能會填補已形成的缺口。一旦缺口填補,我們預期歐元將繼續下跌,目標為支撐位1.0135,並可能進入0.9988–1.0030的區間。策略目標為0.9885,這與紅色價格通道的內嵌線一致。

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從技術角度來看,價格修正可能受到 Marlin 振盪器信號線從 12 月 18 日和 1 月 10 日低點所標記的支撐水平反轉的影響(由勾號指示)。在四小時圖上,振盪器和價格在 Marlin 振盪器兩次從增長區域邊界反轉後均出現下跌(由箭頭標記)。

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Marlin 振盪指標已進入超賣區域。振盪指標可能會回升至零線(如日線圖顯示),這與價格填補缺口一起,將導致進一步的下跌。在美國就業數據周五公佈之前,這一走勢仍有充分的時間發生。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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