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19.02.2025 04:45 AM
2025年2月19日 英鎊/美元預測

英國昨日發布的12月就業數據,即使在美元上漲0.34%的情況下,仍有助於英鎊避免下跌。英鎊僅下跌0.10%,而歐元則下滑0.32%。失業率保持在4.4%不變,與11月持平,並推翻了預期會上升到4.5%的預測。

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在太平洋交易時段,英鎊試圖突破1.2616的阻力位,但未能成功。如果今日的交易時段收盤低於該水平,那麼朝著1.2500支撐位的下跌可能會變得更加明顯。日線時間框架上的馬林震盪指標已經向下轉折。跌破1.2500將為跌向1.2367打開道路,該位置是MACD線所在處。若能在1.2616以上鞏固,將使價格上升至1.2708甚至更高。達到下方目標的可能性是60%。

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在H4圖表上,出現了一個較弱的雙重背離。然而,這種形態的弱勢帶來了一個風險,即振盪指標信號線可能會從零水平反轉。價格仍然有潛力突破當日高點並鞏固。要實現這一點,必須控制住價格,跌破昨日低點1.2581,並將振盪指標拉入負區域。

價格的主要支撐位是MACD線,大約在1.2537的位置。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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